Tennessee Soccer Stats | Results & Team Analytics | July 2026
Starting From Zero
Hundreds of Tennessee schools have started a soccer program in the last decade. I tracked every one of them through their first five seasons to see how fast a team becomes a team, and what separates the handful that became contenders.
The question matters more right now than it ever has. Tennessee's growth corridors keep opening schools, and some of those schools sit in the top ten of my boards today, two or three seasons into existing. This report is how that happens, and why it usually doesn't.
The Typical Ramp Flattens Fast
Average win rate by program age, every debut from 2012 to 2023. Year zero is the first season on record.
Win Rate by Program Age
The Fast Lane
Biggest rating gains from debut to year three or four, minimum thirty games played. Where they rank today is the tell.
Where Fast Starts Come From
Share of each debut roster that had already played for another school, from twelve years of roster data. The median new program builds from scratch. The fast ones don't.
Debut Rosters with Prior History Elsewhere
Where Those Players Came From
The single biggest source school for each new programme's intake
How established programs build rosters: growing their own versus bringing players in, across twelve years.
Method & Sources
Debut-roster origins use the TSSAA roster panel (2014-15 onward): a player "has prior history" if the same name key appeared at a different school in an earlier season, collision-guarded. At growth-corridor public schools much of this is rezoning, not recruitment; the numbers describe roster origins, not intent.
Tennessee Soccer Stats (TSSE) is a personal, independent project and is not affiliated with the TSSAA or any school. "Debut" means first season in this site's game log (2008 onward), so a program that existed quietly before 2008, or played unreported schedules, can predate its debut here.